Where the market is wrong on Dinamo Makhachkala v Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala meet Zenit in the Cup group stage - 4 at Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk.
Zenit rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1500. Recent form leans Zenit, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors Zenit on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Dinamo Makhachkala arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v CSKA Moscow, L 2-3 @ Akhmat, W 2-0 v Rodina Moskva, L 0-3 @ Zenit.
Zenit are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Shanghai Shenhua, W 3-2 @ Baltika, W 2-1 v Lokomotiv, L 1-2 v CSKA Moscow.
Zenit hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zenit 3-0 Dinamo Makhachkala.
The market prices DIN at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
