Where the market is wrong on Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg meet Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga regular season - 5 at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Red Bull Salzburg, 66% against 55%. Attacking output favors Red Bull Salzburg on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Red Bull Salzburg arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Austria Vienna, W 3-0 v Mjallby AIF, W 1-0 @ Mjallby AIF, W 3-0 @ WSG Wattens.
Austria Vienna are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Red Bull Salzburg, D 0-0 v SC Braga, L 0-2 @ SC Braga, W 2-0 @ TSV Hartberg.
Red Bull Salzburg hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Red Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria Vienna.
The market prices RED at 71% implied. Our number sits apart on Austria Vienna: a 15.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
