Where the market is wrong on Mlada Boleslav v Zbrojovka Brno
Mlada Boleslav meet Zbrojovka Brno in the Czech Liga regular season - 9 at Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1722, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Zbrojovka Brno, 79% against 70%. Attacking output favors Zbrojovka Brno on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.
Mlada Boleslav arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Třinec, L 0-3 @ Slovan Liberec, W 4-0 v Baník Ostrava, W 4-0 @ Meteor Praha.
Zbrojovka Brno are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Králův Dvůr, W 2-1 v Artis, L 0-4 @ Slavia Praha, W 1-0 v Hradec Králové.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Mlada Boleslav 0-0 Zbrojovka Brno.
The market prices MLA at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Zbrojovka Brno: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
