Where the market is wrong on Gent v OH Leuven
Gent meet OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 3 at Planet Group Arena, Gent.
Gent rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Gent, 60% against 34%. Attacking output favors OH Leuven on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Gent arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Club Brugge KV, W 3-2 @ Hibernian, D 0-0 v Hibernian, W 2-1 @ RAAL La Louvière.
OH Leuven are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 9 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Standard Liege, L 0-3 v Club Brugge KV, L 1-3 @ Charleroi, L 3-6 v Lille.
OH Leuven hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gent 1-3 OH Leuven.
The market prices GEN at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on OH Leuven: a 9.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
