Nafta v Celje: the model read
Nafta meet Celje in the 1. SNL regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Celje on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Nafta arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Maribor, L 0-1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana, L 1-3 v Celje, D 1-1 @ Aluminij.
Celje are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Brinje-Grosuplje, L 1-2 v Slovan Bratislava, D 1-1 @ Slovan Bratislava, W 3-1 @ Nafta.
Celje hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nafta 1-3 Celje.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
