Where the market is wrong on Hull City v Everton
Hull City meet Everton in the Premier League regular season - 6 at MKM Stadium, Hull.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 53%. Attacking output favors Everton on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Hull City arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Newcastle, D 2-2 @ Chelsea, L 0-1 @ Sunderland, D 0-0 v Aston Villa.
Everton are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ipswich, W 1-0 v Wolves, D 0-0 @ Tottenham, D 2-2 v Manchester United.
Everton hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Hull City 2-3 Everton.
The market prices HUL at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Hull City: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
