Where the market is wrong on Stenhousemuir v Inverness CT
Stenhousemuir meet Inverness CT in the Championship regular season - 4 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Stenhousemuir, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Stenhousemuir on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Stenhousemuir arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Inverness CT, W 2-0 @ Queen's Park, W 1-0 v Motherwell, W 2-0 v Morton.
Inverness CT are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Stenhousemuir, D 1-1 v Partick, L 2-6 @ Heart Of Midlothian, D 0-0 @ Arbroath.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stenhousemuir 3-1 Inverness CT.
The market prices STE at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Stenhousemuir: a 17.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
