Where the market is wrong on Mito Hollyhock v Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock meet Machida Zelvia in the J1 League regular season - 4 at Best Denki Stadium, Mito.
Machida Zelvia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Machida Zelvia, 78% against 33%. Attacking output favors Machida Zelvia on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Mito Hollyhock arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Machida Zelvia, L 0-2 v Kyoto Sangyo University, W 3-1 @ Kyoto Sanga, D 1-1 v Gamba Osaka.
Machida Zelvia are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 16 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mito Hollyhock, W 3-0 v Grulla Morioka, W 3-1 v Urawa, W 4-0 @ JEF United Chiba.
Machida Zelvia hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Machida Zelvia.
The market prices MIT at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Machida Zelvia: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
