Where the market is wrong on Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga meet Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League regular season - 4 at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Avispa Fukuoka, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Avispa Fukuoka on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Kyoto Sanga arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Avispa Fukuoka, W 1-0 v Maruyasu Okazaki, L 1-3 v Mito Hollyhock, D 2-2 @ Kawasaki Frontale.
Avispa Fukuoka are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kyoto Sanga, D 0-0 v Verspah Oita, L 2-3 @ Kashima, W 3-0 v Cerezo Osaka.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka.
The market prices KYO at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Avispa Fukuoka: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
