Where the market is wrong on Ehime FC v Kitakyushu
Ehime FC meet Kitakyushu in the J3 League regular season - 5 at Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama.
Ehime FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans Ehime FC, 68% against 35%. Attacking output favors Ehime FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Ehime FC arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Kitakyushu, W 1-0 v Blaublitz Akita, W 1-0 @ Kanazawa, L 2-3 @ V-varen Nagasaki.
Kitakyushu are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Ehime FC, W 1-0 v Iwaki, D 1-1 v Matsumoto Yamaga, D 2-2 @ Tochigi SC.
Ehime FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ehime FC 4-2 Kitakyushu.
The market prices EHI at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Kitakyushu: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
