Where the market is wrong on FC Thun v Lausanne
FC Thun meet Lausanne in the Super League regular season - 6 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lausanne, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors FC Thun on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
FC Thun arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 12 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Lausanne, W 4-3 @ FC ST. Gallen, D 2-2 v Lech Poznan, L 0-7 @ Lech Poznan.
Lausanne are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Thun, L 2-3 v FC Zurich, L 0-1 @ FC Luzern, W 6-0 @ Kosova Neuchatel.
Lausanne hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Thun 0-0 Lausanne.
The market prices FC at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Lausanne: a 19.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
