Where the market is wrong on Ashdod v Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Ashdod meet Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in the Liga Leumit regular season - 2 at Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa at 66%; double chance reads Ashdod or draw 52%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa or draw 75%.
Ashdod arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, L 0-2 @ Hapoel Afula, L 1-3 v Ironi Modi'in, W 3-2 @ Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ashdod, L 2-6 v Kiryat Yam SC, D 2-2 @ Hapoel Kfar Saba, W 6-1 v Hapoel Hadera.
The market prices ASH at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: a 27.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
