Le Havre v Stade Brestois 29: the model read
Le Havre meet Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 regular season - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 37% against 40%. Attacking output favors Stade Brestois 29 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Le Havre arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Lyon, L 0-1 v Monaco, W 1-0 @ Le Mans, L 2-3 @ Oviedo.
Stade Brestois 29 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Toulouse, D 2-2 @ Le Mans, L 0-2 @ Nottingham Forest, D 2-2 v Venezia.
Stade Brestois 29 hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Le Havre.
The market prices LE at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
