Where the market is wrong on Paris FC v Nice
Paris FC meet Nice in the Ligue 1 regular season - 2 at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Paris FC, 61% against 48%. Attacking output favors Paris FC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Paris FC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Nice, D 0-0 @ Estac Troyes, L 2-3 @ Angers, L 0-4 @ FSV Mainz 05.
Nice are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Paris FC, D 0-0 v Lorient, D 0-0 @ Hull City, D 0-0 @ Cagliari.
Paris FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paris FC 3-0 Nice.
The market prices PAR at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Nice: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
