Rennes v Paris Saint Germain

Rennes meet Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 regular season - 1 at Roazhon Park, Rennes.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors Rennes on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Paris Saint Germain at 56%; double chance reads Rennes or draw 60%, Paris Saint Germain or draw 68%.

Rennes arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, L 1-2 @ Sunderland, L 2-4 v Brentford, L 1-2 v Brentford U21.

Paris Saint Germain are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lille, D 2-2 @ Rennes, L 0-1 @ Lens, W 2-1 v Aston Villa.

Paris Saint Germain hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rennes 2-2 Paris Saint Germain.

The market prices REN at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on Rennes: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.