Where the market is wrong on Dunkerque v Clermont Foot
Dunkerque meet Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 regular season - 5 at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Clermont Foot, 47% against 37%. Attacking output favors Dunkerque on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Dunkerque arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Nancy, L 0-1 v Montpellier, D 3-3 @ Reims, W 4-2 v Grenoble.
Clermont Foot are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sochaux, D 1-1 v Dijon, L 1-3 @ Saint Etienne, D 0-0 v Reims.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Clermont Foot 2-1 Dunkerque.
The market prices DUN at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Clermont Foot: a 15.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
