Metz v Guingamp: the model read
Metz meet Guingamp in the Ligue 2 regular season - 1 at Stade Saint Symphorien, Metz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Metz, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Metz on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Metz arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Annecy, D 1-1 v Laval, D 0-0 @ Grenoble, W 2-1 v Guingamp.
Guingamp are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Nantes, L 0-1 @ Sochaux, W 1-0 v Boulogne, L 1-2 @ Metz.
Guingamp hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Metz 2-1 Guingamp.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
