Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar: the model read
Heerenveen meet AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie regular season - 5 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1637, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 71%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.2 per match.
Heerenveen arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Willem II, L 0-2 v PEC Zwolle, D 2-2 @ Ajax, W 1-0 v Twente.
AZ Alkmaar are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v GO Ahead Eagles, W 2-0 @ Fortuna Sittard, W 4-1 @ Utrecht, W 2-0 v ADO Den Haag.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
