Willem II v Excelsior: the model read
Willem II meet Excelsior in the Eredivisie regular season - 5 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Willem II, 66% against 57%. Attacking output favors Excelsior on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Heerenveen, L 1-4 v NEC Nijmegen, L 1-4 @ GO Ahead Eagles, W 2-1 v OFI.
Excelsior are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven, W 4-0 @ Cambuur, W 5-1 @ De Graafschap.
The market prices WIL at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
