NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior: the model read
NEC Nijmegen meet Excelsior in the Eredivisie regular season - 3 at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Excelsior, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Excelsior on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.7 per match.
NEC Nijmegen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ PEC Zwolle, L 0-3 @ Bodo/Glimt, L 1-3 v Bodo/Glimt, W 4-1 @ Willem II.
Excelsior are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven, W 4-0 @ Cambuur, W 5-1 @ De Graafschap.
NEC Nijmegen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Excelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
