Where the market is wrong on Jong PSV U21 v Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21 meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 9 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Jong AZ, 56% against 43%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.2 per match.
Jong PSV U21 arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Jong AZ, L 1-3 @ Helmond Sport, W 3-1 v Den Bosch, D 1-1 v Jong Ajax.
Jong AZ are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Jong PSV U21, L 2-3 @ Heracles, W 6-3 @ Dordrecht, W 2-1 v Jong Utrecht.
Jong PSV U21 hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong PSV U21 1-1 Jong AZ.
The market prices JON at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
