Where the market is wrong on Spartak Varna v CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna meet CSKA Sofia in the First League regular season - 8 at Stadion Spartak, Varna.
CSKA Sofia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1500. Recent form leans CSKA Sofia, 69% against 50%. Attacking output favors CSKA Sofia on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Spartak Varna arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ludogorets, L 0-6 @ Levski Sofia, L 0-1 v Septemvri Sofia, L 2-3 @ Botev Plovdiv.
CSKA Sofia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Cherno More Varna, L 0-2 v OFI, L 0-3 @ OFI, W 5-0 v Botev Vratsa.
CSKA Sofia hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Spartak Varna 0-4 CSKA Sofia.
The market prices SPA at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Spartak Varna: a 13.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
