Leça v Vitória de Sernache: the model read
Leça meet Vitória de Sernache in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round final.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Leça on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.0 per match.
Leça arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Fafe, W 2-1 @ Paredes, L 0-2 @ Guimaraes B, D 1-1 v São João Ver.
Vitória de Sernache are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v CF Os Belenenses, W 3-0 @ Nazarenos, L 2-3 @ Oliveirense, D 0-0 v SC Covilha.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Leça 1-1 Vitória de Sernache.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
