Phönix Lübeck v SC Paderborn 07

Phönix Lübeck meet SC Paderborn 07 in the DFB Pokal round of 64 at Stadium Airfield, Lubeck.

The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SC Paderborn 07, 73% against 56%. Attacking output favors SC Paderborn 07 on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans SC Paderborn 07 at 55%; double chance reads Phönix Lübeck or draw 60%, SC Paderborn 07 or draw 68%.

Phönix Lübeck arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v SC Paderborn 07, W 4-0 v VfB Lübeck, D 0-0 @ Bremer SV, W 2-0 v SSV Jeddeloh.

SC Paderborn 07 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Phönix Lübeck, D 2-2 @ Werder Bremen, W 2-0 @ VfL Osnabrück, W 3-1 v Fagiano Okayama.

SC Paderborn 07 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Phönix Lübeck 2-4 SC Paderborn 07.

The market prices PHÖ at 7% implied. Our number sits apart on Phönix Lübeck: a 25.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.