Where the market is wrong on Bahlinger SC v 1. FC Magdeburg
Bahlinger SC meet 1. FC Magdeburg in the DFB Pokal round of 64 at Kaiserstuhlstadion, Kaiserstuhl.
1. FC Magdeburg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans 1. FC Magdeburg, 55% against 30%. Attacking output favors 1. FC Magdeburg on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans 1. FC Magdeburg at 68%; double chance reads Bahlinger SC or draw 49%, 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 76%.
Bahlinger SC arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v 1. FC Magdeburg, D 2-2 @ CFR Pforzheim, D 1-1 v Karlsruhe II, D 0-0 v FV Ravensburg.
1. FC Magdeburg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Bahlinger SC, W 3-0 @ VfL Osnabrück, L 1-6 v Eintracht Braunschweig, D 1-1 v West Ham.
1. FC Magdeburg hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bahlinger SC 0-4 1. FC Magdeburg.
The market prices BAH at 3% implied. Our number sits apart on Bahlinger SC: a 20.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
