Como v Parma

Como meet Parma in the Serie A regular season - 4 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como.

Como rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Como, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Como on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Como at 66%; double chance reads Como or draw 77%, Parma or draw 54%.

Como arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Napoli, D 1-1 @ Udinese, D 0-0 @ Liverpool, D 1-1 @ Arsenal.

Parma are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Juventus, L 0-1 v Cagliari, W 2-0 v Catania, L 0-2 v Sampdoria.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Como 1-0 Parma.

The market prices COM at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on Parma: a 13.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.