Cagliari v Inter

Cagliari meet Inter in the Serie A regular season - 2 at Unipol Domus, Cagliari.

Inter rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1500. Recent form leans Inter, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Inter on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Inter at 65%; double chance reads Cagliari or draw 54%, Inter or draw 76%.

Cagliari arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Inter, W 1-0 @ Parma, W 1-0 v Arezzo, D 0-0 v Nice.

Inter are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Cagliari, W 4-1 v Monza, W 1-0 v Real Betis, W 2-1 @ Juventus.

Inter hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cagliari 0-1 Inter.

The market prices CAG at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on Cagliari: a 12.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.