Aarhus v Silkeborg

Aarhus meet Silkeborg in the Superliga regular season - 7 at New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Silkeborg on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.

Aarhus arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Randers FC, L 1-3 v Benfica, D 2-2 v Odense, L 1-3 @ Benfica.

Silkeborg are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FC Midtjylland, L 0-3 @ Vejle, L 1-3 @ Brondby, L 0-1 @ FC Nordsjaelland.

The market prices AAR at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Silkeborg: a 16.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.