Once Caldas v Envigado: the model read
Once Caldas meet Envigado in the Copa Colombia play-offs at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Once Caldas, 59% against 50%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Once Caldas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Chico, W 2-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 @ Junior, D 1-1 @ Jaguares.
Envigado are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Popayan, L 0-1 v Union Magdalena, L 0-1 @ Quindio, L 1-2 @ Tigres FC.
Once Caldas hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Envigado 0-3 Once Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
