Wellington Phoenix W v Brisbane Roar FC W: the model read
Wellington Phoenix W meet Brisbane Roar FC W in the A-League Women semi-finals at Sky Stadium, Wellington.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Wellington Phoenix W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Wellington Phoenix W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Melbourne City W, W 1-0 v Brisbane Roar FC W, L 1-2 @ Brisbane Roar FC W, W 2-0 @ Adelaide United W.
Brisbane Roar FC W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Wellington Phoenix W, W 2-1 v Wellington Phoenix W, W 3-0 v Adelaide United W, W 2-1 @ Canberra United W.
Wellington Phoenix W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wellington Phoenix W 1-0 Brisbane Roar FC W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
