New Zealand New Zealand v Finland: the model read
New Zealand meet Finland in the FIFA Series group stage at Eden Park, Auckland.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans New Zealand, 40% against 30%. Attacking output favors New Zealand on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.9 per match.
New Zealand arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.
Finland are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Hungary, L 0-4 @ Germany, D 1-1 @ Cape Verde Islands, W 2-0 @ New Zealand.
Finland hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New Zealand 0-2 Finland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
