Where the market is wrong on Baltika II v Cherepovets
Baltika II meet Cherepovets in the Second League - Group 2 group 2 - 24 at Baltika Stadium, Kaliningrad.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Baltika II, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Baltika II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Baltika II arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Dinamo St. Petersburg, L 1-4 v Cherepovets, W 3-2 @ Spartak Moscow 2, D 1-1 v Tver.
Cherepovets are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Baltika II, W 3-2 v Yenisey II, L 0-2 @ Chertanovo Moscow, L 1-2 v Kosmos Dolgoprudny.
Cherepovets hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Baltika II 1-4 Cherepovets.
The market prices BAL at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Cherepovets: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
