Where the market is wrong on Izberbash v Astrakhan
Izberbash meet Astrakhan in the Second League - Group 1 group 1 - 24.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Astrakhan, 42% against 32%. Attacking output favors Astrakhan on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Izberbash arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dynamo Makhachkala II, L 1-2 v Pobeda, L 1-3 @ FK Chayka 2, L 1-2 @ Druzhba.
Astrakhan are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Pobeda, D 1-1 v Dynamo Makhachkala II, L 0-4 @ Lugansk, L 0-1 @ Dinamo Stavropol.
Astrakhan hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Astrakhan 3-1 Izberbash.
The market prices IZB at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Astrakhan: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
