Where the market is wrong on Angust Nazran v Sevastopol
Angust Nazran meet Sevastopol in the Second League - Group 1 group 1 - 20.
Sevastopol rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1400. Recent form leans Sevastopol, 78% against 29%. Attacking output favors Sevastopol on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Sevastopol at 73%; double chance reads Angust Nazran or draw 50%, Sevastopol or draw 82%.
Angust Nazran arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Sevastopol, D 0-0 @ Rostov II, D 0-0 v Druzhba, D 0-0 v Lugansk.
Sevastopol are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Angust Nazran, L 3-4 v Astrakhan, W 3-1 @ Pobeda, W 2-1 v Nart Cherkessk.
The market prices ANG at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
