Pakhtakor II v Qiziriq

Pakhtakor II meet Qiziriq in the Pro League A regular season - 17.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 21% against 15%. Attacking output favors Pakhtakor II on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Pakhtakor II at 50%; double chance reads Pakhtakor II or draw 66%, Qiziriq or draw 66%.

Pakhtakor II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Qiziriq, L 0-2 @ Yaypan, W 2-1 v Lochin, L 1-5 @ FarDu.

Qiziriq are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Pakhtakor II, L 0-3 v Metalourg, L 1-2 v Yaypan, L 1-2 @ Lochin.

Pakhtakor II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pakhtakor II 3-0 Qiziriq.

The market prices PAK at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.