PortugalWales v Portugal: the model read
Wales meet Portugal in the UEFA Nations League 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Portugal, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Portugal on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.7 per match.
Wales arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Romania, D 1-1 v Ghana, D 1-1 v Northern Ireland, D 1-1 v Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Portugal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.
Portugal hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2016: Portugal 2-0 Wales.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
