Italy v Türkiye: the model read
Italy meet Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 70%. Attacking output favors Italy on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.0 per match.
Italy arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.
Türkiye are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v USA, L 0-1 v Paraguay, L 0-2 @ Australia, W 2-1 @ Venezuela.
Italy hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Italy 0-0 Türkiye.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
