Yelimay Semey v Kairat Almaty

Yelimay Semey meet Kairat Almaty in the Premier League regular season - 24 at Stadion Spartak, Semey.

Kairat Almaty rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1468. Recent form leans Kairat Almaty, 63% against 47%. Attacking output favors Kairat Almaty on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Kairat Almaty at 59%; double chance reads Yelimay Semey or draw 58%, Kairat Almaty or draw 71%.

Yelimay Semey arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Kaspiy, W 3-1 v Irtysh, D 0-0 @ Zhenys, D 1-1 v Kaisar.

Kairat Almaty are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Anderlecht, L 0-3 v Anderlecht, W 3-1 v Ulytau, L 0-1 v Levski Sofia.

Yelimay Semey hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kairat Almaty 2-2 Yelimay Semey.

The market prices YEL at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.