Tartu Kalev v Tallinna Kalev II

Tartu Kalev meet Tallinna Kalev II in the Esiliiga B regular season - 25.

Tartu Kalev rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1420. Recent form leans Tartu Kalev, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Tartu Kalev on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 95%, over 2.5 goals around 98%. Draw no bet leans Tartu Kalev at 53%; double chance reads Tartu Kalev or draw 65%, Tallinna Kalev II or draw 60%.

Tartu Kalev arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Tallinna Kalev II, W 2-1 v Luunja, W 1-0 v Parnu JK Vaprus U21, L 0-8 @ Tallinna Kalev.

Tallinna Kalev II are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tartu Kalev, D 3-3 v Legion, D 1-1 @ JK Tabasalu, W 3-1 v Johvi Phoenix.

Tallinna Kalev II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tartu Kalev 1-1 Tallinna Kalev II.

The market prices TAR at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Tallinna Kalev II: a 16.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.