Goias v Juventude

Goias meet Juventude in the Serie B regular season - 23 at Estádio da Serrinha, Goiânia.

Juventude rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Juventude, 68% against 48%. Attacking output favors Juventude on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Juventude at 64%; double chance reads Goias or draw 58%, Juventude or draw 77%.

Goias arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cuiaba, L 0-1 v Juventude, L 0-1 @ Criciuma, W 1-0 v Londrina.

Juventude are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 2 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Goias, D 0-0 v Fortaleza EC, W 1-0 @ Novorizontino, L 0-1 v Atletico-MG.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Goias 0-1 Juventude.

The market prices GOI at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Juventude: a 16.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.