Nõmme Kalju II v Nõmme United II

Nõmme Kalju II meet Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A regular season - 30 at Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nõmme United II, 38% against 18%. Attacking output favors Nõmme United II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Nõmme Kalju II arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Nõmme United II, L 0-3 @ Tartu Welco, L 1-5 v Flora II, L 0-1 @ Elva.

Nõmme United II are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Nõmme Kalju II, W 1-0 v Viimsi, W 2-1 v Tallinna Kalev, L 1-2 @ Maardu.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nõmme Kalju II 2-3 Nõmme United II.

The market prices NÕM at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.