Where the market is wrong on Orense SC v Macara
Orense SC meet Macara in the Liga Pro regular season - 27 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala.
Macara rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Macara, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Orense SC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Macara, L 0-3 @ Barcelona SC, W 2-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, D 1-1 @ Delfin SC.
Macara are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Orense SC, L 0-1 @ Libertad, D 0-0 v Santos, D 1-1 v Universidad Catolica.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orense SC 1-2 Macara.
The market prices ORE at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Macara: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
