Where the market is wrong on IR Reykjavik v Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik meet Leiknir R. in the 1. Deild regular season - 22.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors IR Reykjavik on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
IR Reykjavik arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Leiknir R., L 1-3 @ Völsungur, W 3-1 @ Grotta, W 3-1 v Njardvik.
Leiknir R. are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ IR Reykjavik, W 2-0 v Njardvik, L 0-2 @ Vestri, W 6-1 v Ægir.
The market prices IR at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Leiknir R.: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
