Seattle Reign FC W v Houston Dash W

Seattle Reign FC W meet Houston Dash W in the NWSL Women group stage at Lumen Field, Seattle.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Seattle Reign FC W, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Seattle Reign FC W on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.

Seattle Reign FC W arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Houston Dash W, D 1-1 @ Kansas City W, L 1-2 @ Racing Louisville W, W 1-0 v Chicago Red Stars W.

Houston Dash W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Seattle Reign FC W, L 0-1 @ Bay FC W, W 5-0 v Chicago Red Stars W, W 3-2 @ North Carolina Courage W.

Seattle Reign FC W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Seattle Reign FC W 1-0 Houston Dash W.

The market prices SEA at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Houston Dash W: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.