Concepción v Coquimbo Unido

Concepción meet Coquimbo Unido in the Primera División regular season - 20 at Municipal de Collao, Concepción.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Concepción on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Concepción at 53%; double chance reads Concepción or draw 68%, Coquimbo Unido or draw 65%.

Concepción arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Coquimbo Unido, W 2-0 @ Cobresal, W 1-0 v Universidad de Concepcion, W 3-0 v U. Catolica.

Coquimbo Unido are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v U. Catolica, D 1-1 @ Concepción, D 0-0 v Platense, D 1-1 @ Platense.

Coquimbo Unido hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Concepción 1-1 Coquimbo Unido.

The market prices CON at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Concepción: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.