Where the market is wrong on Utsikten v Eskilsminne
Utsikten meet Eskilsminne in the Ettan - Södra södra - 18 at Nordic Wellness Arena, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Eskilsminne, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors Eskilsminne on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Eskilsminne at 66%; double chance reads Utsikten or draw 52%, Eskilsminne or draw 75%.
Utsikten arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v BK Hacken, D 2-2 v Eskilsminne, D 1-1 @ Rosengård, L 0-2 v Hässleholms IF.
Eskilsminne are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Orgryte IS, D 2-2 @ Utsikten, W 3-1 @ Trelleborg, D 0-0 v Rosengård.
Eskilsminne hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Utsikten 2-2 Eskilsminne.
The market prices UTS at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Utsikten: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
