AFC Malmo v Lund

AFC Malmo meet Lund in the Ettan - Södra södra - 18 at Hyllie IP, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors AFC Malmo on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Lund at 55%; double chance reads AFC Malmo or draw 60%, Lund or draw 68%.

AFC Malmo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Lund, D 2-2 @ Olympic, L 1-2 v Trelleborg, D 2-2 @ Angelholms FF.

Lund are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ AFC Malmo, L 0-3 v Hässleholms IF, D 1-1 @ Skövde AIK, D 2-2 @ Trelleborg.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AFC Malmo 2-5 Lund.

The market prices AFC at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Lund: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.