Jabaquara v Comercial: the model read
Jabaquara meet Comercial in the Paulista - A4 regular season - 14.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Comercial, 53% against 37%. Attacking output favors Comercial on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Jabaquara arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Comercial, D 0-0 @ EC Lemense, D 1-1 v Taquaritinga, L 2-3 @ Penapolense.
Comercial are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ São José EC, D 0-0 v São José EC, L 0-2 @ EC São Bernardo, W 2-0 v EC São Bernardo.
Jabaquara hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jabaquara 2-1 Comercial.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
