Mali v Senegal: the model read
Mali meet Senegal in the Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals at Stade Ibn-Batouta, Tanger.
Senegal rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1504. Recent form leans Senegal, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.2 per match.
Mali arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Iran, D 0-0 @ Russia, L 0-1 v Senegal, D 1-1 v Tunisia.
Senegal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.
Senegal hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mali 0-1 Senegal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
