Ostersunds FK v Ljungskile SK

Ostersunds FK meet Ljungskile SK in the Superettan regular season - 20 at Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ostersunds FK, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Ostersunds FK on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Ostersunds FK at 54%; double chance reads Ostersunds FK or draw 68%, Ljungskile SK or draw 63%.

Ostersunds FK arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Ljungskile SK, W 2-1 @ Arlanda, D 1-1 @ IFK Varnamo, W 1-0 v GIF Sundsvall.

Ljungskile SK are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ostersunds FK, W 1-0 @ Franke, L 2-3 v Osters IF, L 0-1 v Oddevold.

Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Ostersunds FK 0-0 Ljungskile SK.

The market prices OST at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Ljungskile SK: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.